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Ranking · Premature NCD mortality

The odds of an early death from the big four

The probability that a 30-year-old dies of heart disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic lung disease before turning 70. Age-bounded, so no Monaco confound — just the risk of an early death from the diseases of modern life.

Highest
44.1%
Kiribati
Median
18.8%
across 182 countries
Lowest
6.9%
Korea, Rep.
Top 12 of 182 · %
Kiribati44.1Solomon Islands40.6Micronesia, Fed. Sts.40.5Fiji37.9Vanuatu36.8Lesotho36.3Afghanistan32.7Eswatini32.3Samoa32.3Philippines31.9Haiti31.6Zimbabwe31.2

182 countries · source: World Bank Open Data · years 2021 · open this measure in the console →

Probability of dying of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease between ages 30 and 70.
#CountryRegion%Year
1 Kiribati East Asia & Pacific 44.1 2021
2 Solomon Islands East Asia & Pacific 40.6 2021
3 Micronesia, Fed. Sts. East Asia & Pacific 40.5 2021
4 Fiji East Asia & Pacific 37.9 2021
5 Vanuatu East Asia & Pacific 36.8 2021
6 Lesotho Sub-Saharan Africa 36.3 2021
7 Afghanistan Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 32.7 2021
8 Eswatini Sub-Saharan Africa 32.3 2021
9 Samoa East Asia & Pacific 32.3 2021
10 Philippines East Asia & Pacific 31.9 2021
11 Haiti Latin America & Caribbean 31.6 2021
12 Zimbabwe Sub-Saharan Africa 31.2 2021
13 Central African Republic Sub-Saharan Africa 30.8 2021
14 Papua New Guinea East Asia & Pacific 28.5 2021
15 Somalia, Fed. Rep. Sub-Saharan Africa 27.6 2021
16 Tonga East Asia & Pacific 26.9 2021
17 Mozambique Sub-Saharan Africa 26.6 2021
18 Lao PDR East Asia & Pacific 26.5 2021
19 Mongolia East Asia & Pacific 26.3 2021
20 Egypt, Arab Rep. Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 26.0 2021
21 Madagascar Sub-Saharan Africa 25.9 2021
22 Yemen, Rep. Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 25.8 2021
23 Turkmenistan Europe & Central Asia 25.7 2021
24 Bulgaria Europe & Central Asia 25.6 2021
25 Pakistan Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 25.5 2021
26 Guyana Latin America & Caribbean 25.4 2021
27 Togo Sub-Saharan Africa 25.4 2021
28 Guinea-Bissau Sub-Saharan Africa 25.3 2021
29 Congo, Dem. Rep. Sub-Saharan Africa 25.1 2021
30 Malawi Sub-Saharan Africa 24.9 2021
31 Burundi Sub-Saharan Africa 24.8 2021
32 Ukraine Europe & Central Asia 24.8 2021
33 Angola Sub-Saharan Africa 24.7 2021
34 Moldova Europe & Central Asia 24.7 2021
35 Uzbekistan Europe & Central Asia 24.6 2021
36 Cameroon Sub-Saharan Africa 24.3 2021
37 Myanmar East Asia & Pacific 24.0 2021
38 Sierra Leone Sub-Saharan Africa 23.9 2021
39 Belarus Europe & Central Asia 23.8 2021
40 Guinea Sub-Saharan Africa 23.6 2021
41 India South Asia 23.6 2021
42 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Latin America & Caribbean 23.6 2021
43 Zambia Sub-Saharan Africa 23.6 2021
44 Burkina Faso Sub-Saharan Africa 23.4 2021
45 Chad Sub-Saharan Africa 23.4 2021
46 Namibia Sub-Saharan Africa 23.1 2021
47 Mali Sub-Saharan Africa 23.0 2021
48 Cote d'Ivoire Sub-Saharan Africa 22.7 2021
49 Iraq Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 22.7 2021
50 Latvia Europe & Central Asia 22.7 2021
51 South Africa Sub-Saharan Africa 22.7 2021
52 Cambodia East Asia & Pacific 22.6 2021
53 Russian Federation Europe & Central Asia 22.4 2021
54 Ghana Sub-Saharan Africa 22.2 2021
55 Georgia Europe & Central Asia 22.1 2021
56 Liberia Sub-Saharan Africa 22.0 2021
57 Morocco Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 22.0 2021
58 Indonesia East Asia & Pacific 21.9 2021
59 Gambia, The Sub-Saharan Africa 21.8 2021
60 Hungary Europe & Central Asia 21.7 2021
61 Mauritius Sub-Saharan Africa 21.7 2021
62 Romania Europe & Central Asia 21.5 2021
63 Uganda Sub-Saharan Africa 21.5 2021
64 Senegal Sub-Saharan Africa 21.4 2021
65 Syrian Arab Republic Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 21.3 2021
66 Congo, Rep. Sub-Saharan Africa 21.2 2021
67 Kazakhstan Europe & Central Asia 21.2 2021
68 Sudan Sub-Saharan Africa 21.2 2021
69 Benin Sub-Saharan Africa 20.8 2021
70 Serbia Europe & Central Asia 20.7 2021
71 Armenia Europe & Central Asia 20.6 2021
72 Djibouti Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 20.6 2021
73 Bahamas, The Latin America & Caribbean 20.4 2021
74 Equatorial Guinea Sub-Saharan Africa 20.3 2021
75 Trinidad and Tobago Latin America & Caribbean 20.3 2021
76 Comoros Sub-Saharan Africa 20.2 2021
77 Jamaica Latin America & Caribbean 20.2 2021
78 Niger Sub-Saharan Africa 20.2 2021
79 Timor-Leste East Asia & Pacific 20.1 2021
80 Viet Nam East Asia & Pacific 20.1 2021
81 Rwanda Sub-Saharan Africa 20.0 2021
82 Bolivia Latin America & Caribbean 19.9 2021
83 Malaysia East Asia & Pacific 19.9 2021
84 Libya Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 19.8 2021
85 Lithuania Europe & Central Asia 19.8 2021
86 North Macedonia Europe & Central Asia 19.6 2021
87 Sao Tome and Principe Sub-Saharan Africa 19.5 2021
88 Nepal South Asia 19.4 2021
89 Botswana Sub-Saharan Africa 19.0 2021
90 Kyrgyz Republic Europe & Central Asia 18.8 2021
91 Tanzania Sub-Saharan Africa 18.8 2021
92 Mauritania Sub-Saharan Africa 18.7 2021
93 Suriname Latin America & Caribbean 18.7 2021
94 Venezuela, RB Latin America & Caribbean 18.7 2021
95 West Bank and Gaza Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 18.3 2021
96 Bangladesh South Asia 18.1 2021
97 Gabon Sub-Saharan Africa 18.1 2021
98 Tajikistan Europe & Central Asia 18.1 2021
99 Kenya Sub-Saharan Africa 18.0 2021
100 Montenegro Europe & Central Asia 18.0 2021
101 Honduras Latin America & Caribbean 17.8 2021
102 Nigeria Sub-Saharan Africa 17.7 2021
103 Cuba Latin America & Caribbean 17.6 2021
104 Azerbaijan Europe & Central Asia 17.4 2021
105 Dominican Republic Latin America & Caribbean 17.4 2021
106 Uruguay Latin America & Caribbean 17.4 2021
107 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe & Central Asia 17.2 2021
108 Cabo Verde Sub-Saharan Africa 17.2 2021
109 Grenada Latin America & Caribbean 17.1 2021
110 Poland Europe & Central Asia 17.0 2021
111 Ethiopia Sub-Saharan Africa 16.8 2021
112 Slovak Republic Europe & Central Asia 16.6 2021
113 Mexico Latin America & Caribbean 16.3 2021
114 Paraguay Latin America & Caribbean 16.1 2021
115 Bhutan South Asia 15.9 2021
116 China East Asia & Pacific 15.9 2021
117 Croatia Europe & Central Asia 15.9 2021
118 Seychelles Sub-Saharan Africa 15.6 2021
119 Estonia Europe & Central Asia 15.5 2021
120 St. Lucia Latin America & Caribbean 15.5 2021
121 Belize Latin America & Caribbean 15.4 2021
122 Turkiye Europe & Central Asia 15.4 2021
123 Brunei Darussalam East Asia & Pacific 14.9 2021
124 Bahrain Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 14.8 2021
125 Guatemala Latin America & Caribbean 14.6 2021
126 Oman Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 14.6 2021
127 Brazil Latin America & Caribbean 14.5 2021
128 Thailand East Asia & Pacific 14.5 2021
129 Czechia Europe & Central Asia 14.2 2021
130 Barbados Latin America & Caribbean 14.0 2021
131 Iran, Islamic Rep. Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 13.9 2021
132 Sri Lanka South Asia 13.9 2021
133 United States North America 13.7 2021
134 Saudi Arabia Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 13.6 2021
135 Argentina Latin America & Caribbean 13.4 2021
136 Algeria Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 13.3 2021
137 Ecuador Latin America & Caribbean 13.2 2021
138 Tunisia Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 13.0 2021
139 El Salvador Latin America & Caribbean 12.6 2021
140 Nicaragua Latin America & Caribbean 12.6 2021
141 Peru Latin America & Caribbean 12.3 2021
142 Antigua and Barbuda Latin America & Caribbean 12.1 2021
143 Qatar Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 12.1 2021
144 Greece Europe & Central Asia 12.0 2021
145 Lebanon Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 11.9 2021
146 Germany Europe & Central Asia 11.6 2021
147 Jordan Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 11.6 2021
148 Slovenia Europe & Central Asia 11.6 2021
149 United Arab Emirates Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 11.6 2021
150 United Kingdom Europe & Central Asia 11.0 2021
151 Panama Latin America & Caribbean 10.9 2021
152 Denmark Europe & Central Asia 10.7 2021
153 Portugal Europe & Central Asia 10.5 2021
154 Colombia Latin America & Caribbean 10.3 2021
155 New Zealand East Asia & Pacific 10.3 2021
156 Singapore East Asia & Pacific 10.3 2021
157 France Europe & Central Asia 10.2 2021
158 Puerto Rico (US) Latin America & Caribbean 10.1 2021
159 Albania Europe & Central Asia 10.0 2021
160 Austria Europe & Central Asia 9.9 2021
161 Costa Rica Latin America & Caribbean 9.9 2021
162 Netherlands Europe & Central Asia 9.9 2021
163 Malta Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 9.8 2021
164 Canada North America 9.7 2021
165 Finland Europe & Central Asia 9.6 2021
166 Ireland Europe & Central Asia 9.6 2021
167 Chile Latin America & Caribbean 9.4 2021
168 Kuwait Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 9.3 2021
169 Spain Europe & Central Asia 9.3 2021
170 Belgium Europe & Central Asia 9.2 2021
171 Italy Europe & Central Asia 9.1 2021
172 Maldives South Asia 9.0 2021
173 Cyprus Europe & Central Asia 8.5 2021
174 Iceland Europe & Central Asia 8.5 2021
175 Australia East Asia & Pacific 8.3 2021
176 Japan East Asia & Pacific 8.0 2021
177 Sweden Europe & Central Asia 7.9 2021
178 Luxembourg Europe & Central Asia 7.8 2021
179 Norway Europe & Central Asia 7.8 2021
180 Israel Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan 7.6 2021
181 Switzerland Europe & Central Asia 7.5 2021
182 Korea, Rep. East Asia & Pacific 6.9 2021

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